Okafor Chinasa Ogedi

Comparative Performance of Simple Exponential Smoothing, Brown’s Linear Trend and ARIMA Model on Forecasting Neonatal Mortality Rate in Nigeria

Christogonus Ifeanyichukwu Ugoh, Nneka Chidinma Nwabueze, Nwabueze Achunam Simeon, Eze Theophine Chinaza & Okafor Chinasa Ogedi · Asian Journal of Probability and Statistics · 2022

Paper proposes an appropriate time series model that is used to forecast the NMR in Nigeria. The data used for the study is sourced from the World Bank for a period of 1980-2019. The ARIMA model and Exponential Smoothing are fitted on the raw data. The Bayesian Information Criter...