Dynamic Resilience to Climate Change Caused Natural Disasters in Coastal Megacities Quantification Framework
Slobodan P. Simonovic, Angela Peck
International Journal of Environment and Climate Change · pp. 378–401 · Published 15 Sep 2013
10.9734/BJECC/2013/2504Abstract
Objectives: The framework is designed to provide (i) for better understanding of factors contributing to urban resilience; and (ii) for comparison of climate change adaptation options. Methodology: Disasters occur at the intersection of hazards and vulnerabilities. As the climate changes, so do the patterns of climate hazards. Coastal megacities are faced with many challenges including (i) increased exposure to natural hazards such as hurricanes, typhoons, storm surges, sea-level rise and riverine flooding; (ii) pressures of increasing urbanization and population growth; and (iii) increased complexity of interacting subsystems. An original method for quantification of resilience is provided through spatial system dynamics simulation. The quantitative resilience framework combines economic, social, organizational, health and physical impacts of climate change caused natural disasters on coastal megacities. The developed measure defines resilience as a function of time and location in space. The framework is being implemented through the system dynamics model in an integrated computational environment. Conclusion: Data collection for the Coastal Megacity Resilience Simulator (CMRS) model input and discussions with local decision makers are actively being pursued concurrent with the model development for the primary case study coastal city of Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. Future work includes developing policy driven adaptation scenarios, resilience model simulations, transfer of the resilience model to local community and capacity building.
Cited by 105
M. Feng, Pan Liu, Ximing Cai · Water Resources Research · 2018
Benjamin D. Bühler · Handbuch Virtualität · 2018
Jing-Jing Kong, Slobodan P. Simonovic, Chao Zhang · Risk Analysis · 2018
Anne Tiernan, Lex Drennan, J. Nalau · Policy Design and Practice · 2018
M. Karamouz, M. Olyaei · International Journal of Environmental Research · 2018
Jing-Jing Kong, S. Simonovic · International Journal of Safety and Security Engineering · 2018
Nazanin Zare, N. Talebbeydokhti · International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction · 2018
Chao Zhang, Jing-Jing Kong, S. Simonovic · 2018
Jaziar Radianti, A. A. A. Aboughonim, Jose J. Gonzalez · Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences · 2018
R. Bandyopadhyay, P. Kaplan, Rochelle Araujo · IEEE Global Humanitarian Technology Conference · 2017
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