Drought Analysis in Southern Agroclimatic Zone of Tamil Nadu using Standardized Precipitation Index

Abstract

Drought differs from other natural hazards in the fact that the initiation and the termination is extremely difficult to determine and that its drastic effects continue to persist well after the cessation of the event which adds to the complexity as well as the casualties. The Southern Agro Climatic Zone (ACZ) of Tamil Nadu is heavily rain shadowed during the South West Monsoon Season, several complications arise with respect to drought, causing crop failures and depleted moisture concentration in certain cases. With that idea in perspective, a study was conducted in Agro Climate Research Centre, Tamil Nadu Agricultural University, Coimbatore, India to study the frequency of drought over the Southern Agro-Climatic Zone of Tamil Nadu, India. Since precipitation that occurs over a region determines mainly the occurrence and cessation of drought events, precipitation-based Rainfall Deviation and Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) was used to quantify the extent of rainfall deficit or surplus over the region. The analysis of 30 years (1991 – 2020) historical rainfall data of various districts of the Southern Agroclimatic Zone of Tamil Nadu using SPI showed that the annual SPI value ranged from +3.3 to -4. The study showed that Tirunelveli and Thoothukudi districts were most prone to moderate drought and severe drought. The region showed more frequency of Moderate drought than Severe and Extreme drought.