Skip to content
Research Article Open access CC BY 4.0

Methodology for Predicting Local Impacts of Sea Level Rise

Frederick Bloetscher, Nicole H. Hammer, Len Berry, Nadia Locke, Trent van Allen

Current Journal of Applied Science and Technology · pp. 84–96 · Published 21 Jan 2015

10.9734/BJAST/2015/14046

Abstract

In the future, south Florida will be flush with water due to sea level rise and increased storm intensity, meaning there are three options to deal with this problem – retreat, offshore discharges or finding a use for the water. The first is not an option so the others must be evaluated. To do so, the first task needed to identify solutions to this problem is to define the severity of the problem through a vulnerability analysis so the appropriate decisions can be made. Aims: The objectives of this research were to develop an accurate methodology for predicting impacts of sea level rise and rainfall patterns at the local level by identifying how existing topographic, groundwater and tidal data sources can be utilized to identify infrastructure vulnerable to sea level rise and flooding. Study Design: Based on a study of monitoring well water levels on Miami Beach, it was noted that during the year, groundwater levels fluctuate due to tidal levels and rainfall, with the Fall king tides creating the highest vulnerability to infrastructure and property. Once vulnerability is defined a toolbox of options can be developed to deal with local issues. Results: The research found that the tides create a much larger vulnerability than current sea level rise analyses suggest and that the king tides drive the level of service for the community, while altering the dynamics of future stormwater planning efforts. To mitigate the impacts of flooding will require new ideas for dealing with excess waters. A toolbox of options was developed. Conclusion: One item that arose was that there is potential to use stormwater adaptation strategies to create future water supplies.

Sea level rise flooding risk alternative water supplies infiltration galleries horizontal wells

References (32)

  1. 1 Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States
  2. 2 A global analysis of human settlement in coastal zones
  3. 3 Global sea level linked to global temperature [DOI]
  4. 4 Observations: Oceanic Climate Change and Sea Level
  5. 5 The National Elevation Dataset
  6. 6 Changes in Sea Level
  7. 7 Improved estimates of upper-ocean warming and multi-decadal sea-level rise [DOI]
  8. 8 Coastal flooding and wetland loss in the 21st century: changes under the SRES climate and socio-economic scenarios [DOI]
  9. 9 Raster modelling of coastal flooding from sea‐level rise [DOI]
  10. 10 Analysis of Lidar Elevation Data for Improved Identification and Delineation of Lands Vulnerable to Sea-Level Rise [DOI]
  11. 11 Maps of lands vulnerable to sea level rise: modeled elevations along the US Atlantic and Gulf coasts [DOI]
  12. 12 Twentieth-Century Global-Mean Sea Level Rise: Is the Whole Greater than the Sum of the Parts? [DOI]
  13. 13 How will sea level respond to changes in natural and anthropogenic forcings by 2100? [DOI]
  14. 14 A probabilistic methodology to estimate future coastal flood risk due to sea level rise [DOI]
  15. 15 Influence of potential sea level rise on societal vulnerability to hurricane storm-surge hazards, Sarasota County, Florida [DOI]
  16. 16 Vertical Accuracy and Use of Topographic LIDAR Data in Coastal Marshes [DOI]
  17. 17 Response of Wetlands to Rising Sea Level in the Lower Coastal Plain of North Carolina [DOI]
  18. 18 Analysis of non-linear inundation from sea-level rise using LIDAR data: a case study for South Florida [DOI]
  19. 19 Improving overland flow routing by incorporating ancillary road data into Digital Elevation Models
  20. 20 Assessing the impact of climate change on visitor behaviour and habitat use at the coast: A UK case study [DOI]
  21. 21 Assessment of sea level rise impacts on human population and real property in the Florida Keys [DOI]
  22. 22 Storm flooding sensitivity to sea level rise for Galveston Bay, Texas [DOI]
  23. 23 Sea levels: resolution and uncertainty [DOI]
  24. 24 Maps of Lands Close to Sea Level along the Middle Atlantic Coast of the United States: An Elevation Data Set to Use While Waiting for LIDAR
  25. 25 Accurately determining the risks of rising sea level [DOI]
  26. 26 Development of a Methodology for the Assessment of Sea Level Rise Impacts on Florida's Transportation Modes and Infrastructure
  27. 27 Identifying FDOT’s Physical Transportation Infrastructure Vulnerable to Sea Level Rise [DOI]
  28. 28 Identification of Physical Transportation Infrastructure Vulnerable to Sea Level Rise [DOI]
  29. 29 Tools for assessing sea level rise vulnerability [DOI]
  30. 30 Sea level rise: what makes prediction so difficult?
  31. 31 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) [DOI]
  32. 32 Ranking Port Cities with High Exposure and Vulnerability to Climate Extremes [DOI]

Cited by 5

Assessing the Impacts of Sea Level Rise Using Existing Data

Frederick Bloetscher, Michael Wood · Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection · 2016

Regional Hydrological Impacts of Climate Changes and Adaptation Actions and Options

Robert Maliva · Springer Hydrogeology · 2021

Showing 2 of 5 known citations — external sources report more than can currently be individually listed.

Related research

Article metrics

Real usage data collected on this platform.

58

Page views

0

PDF downloads

28

Outbound clicks

5

Citations

Views over time

Views by country

Approximate, from request IP at view time — not citizenship or institution. Countries with fewer than 5 views are grouped as "Other".

Traffic sources

Referring site, by host.

Views and downloads exclude known bots/crawlers. Citations combines this platform's own DOI-resolved index with each external source's own reported total — see Cited by above for individually listed citing works. Last refreshed 0 seconds ago.