Financial Distress and It’s Prediction: A Case Study of the Textile and Garment Industry

Abstract

Aims: The objective of this research is to glance at the projections of financial distress in the textile and garment sub-sectors listed on the IDX. Methodology: The case study method is used in this study to employ the descriptive quantitative method approach. While the IDX is the source of the case study data, the purposive sampling method was used on the financial statements of textile and garment sub-sector companies in 2019 and the first quarter of 2020. While the cross-sectional method is used for case study analysis, or by comparing the Z-score (multiple discriminant analysis) that has been performed between one company and the standard zone that has been carried out simultaneously. Results: This study discovered that the case study using multiple discriminant analysis models in the first quarter of 2020 shows a significant impact of Covid-19 on the financial condition of companies listed on the IDX in the textile and garment industry, with 88 percent of companies in a stress zone. This study also shows that both internal and external factors can lead to a company's demise. As a result, corporate financial management decision-making must consider the company's liquidity, debt proportion, and the efficient use of working capital. Implication/Applications: The findings of this study can be useful not only for researchers, but also for practitioners who are interested in financial distress cases. The Originality of the Study: One of the study's limitations is that the sample is still limited to the research scope, which only covers the two sectors. Furthermore, this study only employs a single model of financial distress. As a result, it is hoped that in the future, research will be conducted with various types of company sectors and using various financial distress models.