Trajectory of COVID-19 Data in India: Investigation and Project Using Artificial Neural Network, Fuzzy Time Series and ARIMA Models
Pradeep Mishra, Chellai Fatih, Deepa Rawat, Saswati Sahu, Sagar Anand Pandey, M. Ray, Anurag Dubey, Olawale Monsur Sanusi
Annual Research & Review in Biology · pp. 46–54 · Published 31 Aug 2020
10.9734/arrb/2020/v35i930270Abstract
Due to the impact of Corona virus (COVID-19) pandemic that exists today, all countries, national and international organizations are in a continuous effort to find efficient and accurate statistical models for forecasting the future pattern of COVID infection. Accurate forecasting should help governments to take decisive decisions to master the pandemic spread. In this article, we explored the COVID-19 database of India between 17th March to 1st July 2020, then we estimated two nonlinear time series models: Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) by comparing them with ARIMA model. In terms of model adequacy, the FTS model out performs the ANN for the new cases and new deaths time series in India. We observed a short-term virus spread trend according to three forecasting models.Such findings help in more efficient preparation for the Indian health system.
Cited by 12
Arijit Chakraborty, Sajal Mitra, Dipankar Das · Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems · 2021
Mostafa ABOTALEB, Tatiana MAKAROVSKİKH, Harun YONAR · Turkish Journal of Mathematics and Computer Science · 2021
Related research
- Awareness of Knowledge, Attitude and Practices of Medical Students and Surgical Trainees Regarding Surgical Informed Consent: A Cross-sectional Multi-centric Study from Northern India — shares topic coverage
- Outcome of Assisted Reproductive Technologies at a Fertility Center in Selected Hospital of Itanagar, India — shares topic coverage
- Antimicrobial Resistance Patterns of Bacterial Isolates from Tertiary Care Hospital of North India — shares topic coverage
- Assessment of Physico-Chemical Characteristics and Trace Metal Contents of Drinking Water Samples of District Tiruchirappalli — shares topic coverage
- Roosting Behaviour of Black-winged Kite (Elanus caeruleus) Inhabiting the Arid Zone of Rajasthan — shares topic coverage
Article metrics
Real usage data collected on this platform.
0
Page views
0
PDF downloads
0
Outbound clicks
12
Citations
Views by country
Approximate, from request IP at view time — not citizenship or institution. Countries with fewer than 5 views are grouped as "Other".
No views recorded yet.
Traffic sources
Referring site, by host.
No traffic recorded yet.
Views and downloads exclude known bots/crawlers. Citations combines this platform's own DOI-resolved index with each external source's own reported total — see Cited by above for individually listed citing works. Last refreshed 0 seconds ago.