Contemporary Agricultural Land Management Practices under Climate Change and Population Increase Scenarios: Insights from Tanzania’s Southern Highlands

Abstract

This study investigated the impact of population growth and climate change on land management practices. The study was conducted in Mbinga district located in the Southern Highlands of Tanzania. Quantitative and qualitative research approaches were employed. Research data were collected using structured questionnaires, in-depth interviews, physical observation, focus group discussions and literature review. A total of 267 household heads were selected for this study. Also, the study used climate data from Tanzania Meteorological Authority, temperature and rainfall data over the past 40 years were collected (1981-2021). The findings revealed that, the area has experienced increased population and climate change incidences. The trend line for both minimum and maximum temperatures indicate a substantial increased trends at (P= 0.0018, R2=0.0005; P=0.0176, R2=0.02359) respectively. Contrariwise, the area has experienced decrease in rainfall totals at (P= 0.4385, R2=0.0008). It was revealed that, various traditional methods of land management practices including the use of animal manures, mulching, fallowing and the use of crop residues were affected by population increase and climate change. Farmers adopted new agricultural practices including the use of industrial fertilizers and reducing the size of contour terraces as the coping strategies for agricultural production against environmental deterioration caused by population increase and climate change.  However, the sustainability of such practices is uncertain due to continued population increase and climate change scenarios. Therefore, the study recommends for introduction of sustainable land management practices that would instigate for sustainable food production for the changing population.