Rationalization of the Pattern of Rural Out Migration: An Application of a Composite and In ated Probability Models

Abstract

Migration is a term that encompasses a permanent or temporary change in residence between some specific defined geographical or political areas. In recent years, it has not only contributed a lot to the change in size and composition of the population, but also it leaves a significant impact on the socio-economic characteristics of the origin and destination population. In the present paper an attempt has been made to examine the distribution of the number of rural out migrants from household through composite probability models based on certain assumptions. Poisson distribution compounded with exponential distribution and its composite and in ated form has been examined for some real data set of rural out migration. The parameters of the proposed models have been estimated by method of moments. The distributions are quite satisfactory to explain the phenomenon of rural out migration. Also the distribution of average number of adult migrants has been examined for all the data sets.