Evolution Analysis of the Land use in the Municipality of Korsimoro, North-Central Burkina Faso: Predictive Modelling for 2050

Abstract

In the context of the commune of Korsimoro in Burkina Faso, this study looked at the evolution of land use between 1991 and 2021, with projections to 2050. Using satellite data and geospatial processing methods, an analysis of past and projected trends in future land-use scenarios was conducted. The results revealed a significant increase in anthropogenic activities in recent decades, with a 25.69 per cent increase in land dedicated to agriculture and the expansion of urban areas. However, an optimistic outlook for 2050 suggests a regression in anthropogenic activities and an increase in natural areas, with 5.67 per cent increase for wooded savannahs and 78.37 per cent increase for shrub and grassy savannahs, respectively. These findings underscore the importance of rethinking land management policies in order to promote more sustainable development. Sustainable agricultural practices, integrated urban planning and the protection of natural ecosystems appear to be promising avenues for reconciling human needs with environmental preservation.