Impact of Enso on Indian Monsoon and Food Production

Abstract

El Nino is a big ocean-atmosphere climate interaction It happens when Sea Temperatures (SST) warm up in central and eastern parts of the Equatorial Pacific. Whereas La Nina is the opposite event of it, when ocean SST cools down in those same areas. Together, El Nino and La Nina are known as the El Nino Southern Oscillation Index (O). Usually, El Nino brings warm and dry weather to southern & eastern inland regions of India, Australia, Indonesia, Philippines, Malaysia, and the central Pacific islands. The variations of Indian summer monsoon Rainfall (ISMR) are linked to changes in sea surface temperatures over the equatorial Pacific & Indian Oceans. ENSO events really affect summer rainfall in India and major droughts have faced during El Nino events. When El Nino kicks in, it often leads to weak monsoons & higher temperatures in India. This raises the chances of droughts, which could upset crop production & water supply in India. The lack of rain because of El Nino causes crop production to drop, especially short-duration Kharif crops. This situation can lead to higher inflation rates & slower GDP growth, since agriculture is such a huge part of India’s economy. Therefore, this paper provide information about how El Nino affects climate throughout various regions of India, especially regarding monsoons and growing food.