Relationship of ENSO and Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) to Characterize Drought at Different Locations of Punjab, India

Abstract

Drought is generally considered as a deficiency in precipitation over an extended period usually a season or more. It is a natural hazard that differs from other hazards since it has a slow onset, evolves over months or even years and its severity is often difficult to determine. Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) is a widely used index to characterize drought on a range of timescales. In this study SPI was calculated annually and season (Kharif and Rabi) wise to correlate drought with ENSO events at different locations of Punjab viz. Amritsar, Ballowal Saunkhri, Bathinda, Ludhiana and Patiala. The historical data of rainfall for different locations of Punjab viz. Amritsar (1971-2017), Ballowal Saunkhri (1984-2018), Bathinda (1971-2018), Ludhiana (1971-2018) and Patiala (1971-2018) were collected from the Department of Climate Change and Agricultural Meteorology, PAU, Ludhiana and Met Centre, India Meteorological Department, Chandigarh. It was found that at all the locations very strong El Nino of 1997-98 resulted in above normal rainfall. Drought like conditions was observed during El Nino years as value of SPI was negative but with few exceptions. The SPI values were positive during La Nina and neutral years. Droughts during kharif season were found to be more related to El Nino years compared to La Nina years.